Ok, I think I understand most of your points guerilla, but I still disagree with most of it.
There is nothing wrong with disagreeing with me.
Or in other words I don’t think inflation will get radically out of control to the point where money is useless as a result of this.
You think, or you know? My opinion is not based upon gut instincts or well wishes. I'm talking about measurable, historical effects of propping up a failing market by flooding the economy with massive amounts of liquidity created not by production, but by literally typing a number into a computer.
Maybe I’m wrong, I honestly don’t know, but I think we will be ok 5-10 years from now without having to go through a brutal depression.
If everything is ok in 5/10, you'll be smarter for having thought this thru. if not, you'll be kicking yourself in the ass. But I wouldn't risk not preparing for a bad outcome. Whatever TV and radio you listen to, you're not hearing the other side of the financial experts who are screaming that this is bloody murder, and potentially the setup for a huge meltdown.
The government can afford to sit on these toxic assets, which allows the banks to recover.
Who is the government? It's you. The government represents you. So can you afford to sit on the bank's toxic assets? Can you afford to buy junk derivatives that are pretty much worthless with your hard earned cash?
The banks can't "recover" until these bad debts are liquidated (taken off the market at a reduced cost or zero). All the government has done, is said, "we'll take all of these worthless securities, and we'll spread the losses among 300 million citizens and a few thousand foreign investors. They will eat the losses for you, and you can clean up your balance sheet".
In other words, you and everyone you know, is paying off the bad decisions of the banks. And most insidiously, you will be paying through inflation, so your savings will debase, and your purchasing power will shrink. You're actually going to lose some of your standard of living in order to make this happen.
Then the fed can raise interest rates to combat the inflation and we are basically back to normal.
That's the theory. But in an economy with defaulting houses, and a stagnant growth profile, high interest rates will be suicide. It will be like the early 80s all over again, people will be walking away from their homes. Remember, these people getting bailed out, already can't afford their interest only, zero down low interest rate mortgages. Who says they will be able to afford them in 2 or 3 years if rates triple? Not to mention that they will be paying $500k mortgages on $300k properties. Who thinks that is likely to happen?
Tax revenue increases because the economy gets better.
Taxation is theft. The more tax the government takes, the less capital there is for growth in the economy. The government should be slashing spending and taxes right now, instead of buying up toxic debt it can't afford.
The new president manages the deficit and imposes new regulations to keep lending responsible.
The President doesn't manage the economy. He has no constitutional authority to do so. The Congress and Treasury are supposed to be responsible for fiscal and monetary matters, not the private FED or the President. If the President is running the economy, that's pretty much a monarchy.
Honestly I don’t know a whole lot about economics and especially not politics. But I find it hard to believe that the ideologies and theories that existed prior to the great depression are accurate. I guess time will tell though.
Well, no recession lasted longer than 2 years generally prior to the Depression. Once the FED showed up, the gold standard collapsed twice ('33, '71), and there were Depressions in the 30s and late 70s.
What you find hard to believe, admitting you don't know, is not worth a damn. There is nothing stopping you from educating yourself. Find out for your sake. Know for sure. Guessing and hoping and thinking won't put shoes on your feet and food in your belly if the shit hits the fan.