I wish we could force politicians to study austrian economics. This shit is just painful to read.
How likely is it that everything will be just fine for the next 50 years?
That we'll all keep using our fake money, everything will keep working some way or another, people who work will be able to feed themselves etc..
It's fully, 100% impossible.
In fact I'd say that only 10 Years is still 100% impossible. Many would agree:
[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bYkl3XlEneA]There Will Be No Economic Recovery. Prepare Yourself Accordingly. - YouTube[/ame]
What actually has to happen for everything to fuck up?
That's a great question. The problem is we don't really know exactly what's going on in many ways, such as where the gold is and what the agreements are at the highest levels that keep our banking system the way it is.
From the outside, all I can deduce is that it would take a foreign country like China to demand a payment of the US that it can't pay... Such as in Gold. (China doesn't want the US to print anymore, for obvious reasons, and the US has been making gold payments to china for many years.)
So at some point china will simply say, "now pay us $1 trillion in gold for so and so", and the US will make excuses and stall like usual, and China will get upset & say "now, or else." -And we can only speculate what the or else will be.
A more likely scenario will be simple hyperinflation due to all the QE, going in overdrive once the bond market starts correcting as it is long overdue to.
A third, and also kind of likely thing to happen is that another currency outside all of these failed state currencies, perhaps the NZD, HKD, the Chilean Peso, or perhaps even Bitcoin, gains enough popularity to shed light on the utter fruitlessness of the USD, Yen, and Euro.... These three losers each look relatively stable because all three and even the Yuan too to some extent are in freefall together right now.
What has to happen for everything to keep working?
Bitcoin could save us if somehow everyone decided to jump in on it.... Lololol at that happening though... Even if hyperinflation scared them to do so.
Otherwise, I don't think anything could. It's hopeless bro.