Attention Guerilla (and the politicalized horde).



Yeah, I saw that a while back. It does a decent job representing both viewpoints, although it really glosses over the shit that is Keynesian economics.

And slayerment, how do you think the money supply is expanded? They lower the fucking rates.
 
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Its more how do they lower the rates = expand the money supply, but yeah; you're not disagreeing with the point at all slayerment, you're just being ragey and expressing your "omg illuminati" pop culture conspiracy shit.

which is pretty damn close to reality, though.
 
More people should see this. Although it does imply a black and white choice between two schools of though, it does a great job at presenting those viewpoints.
 
@Refrozen, thanks. I saw it awhile ago. It's brilliant. I was going to post it, but wasn't sure there was an audience here for it.

Yeah, I saw that a while back. It does a decent job representing both viewpoints, although it really glosses over the shit that is Keynesian economics.
It's supposed to present a more balanced view, and leave it to the viewer to understand how absolutely fucking crazy and irrational Keynesian economics is, and then maybe wakeup and realize every government operates under Keynesian policies. Every government, everywhere.

Because it is not dogmatic it has got a lot of attention and views, and gets played in classrooms all the time now from what I understand.

And slayerment, how do you think the money supply is expanded? They lower the fucking rates.
Technically, they monetize debt, that is the government issues debt in the form of bonds, they offer to buy this debt from the banks for reserve credit. By creating a market for government debt, the central bank enables the government to grow by going deeper and deeper into indebtedness.

That reserve credit lets the banks fractionally loan out at say, 10:1. That expands the money supply. A greater supply of money, drives down the price of money (interest rate).

So when the FED or any central bank announces rate cuts, we have two things happening.

1. They are going to increase the money supply, attempting to drive down the interest rate by flooding the market.

2. They loan at or below the target rate at the discount window, which is a short term lending facility central banks extend to the banking sector. The discount window is where banks get secretive emergency mini-bailouts, and can perform overnight balance arbitrage with different banks in different countries (the master level of the grand scam).

More people should see this. Although it does imply a black and white choice between two schools of though, it does a great job at presenting those viewpoints.
It is a black and white choice. On the one hand, you have the belief that people operating freely in the market is the best form of economy, and on the other hand, you have the belief that a government can run an economy better than the market.

Keynesianism is just socialism, and the dichotomy is always socialism (control) vs liberty (freedom). Shades of socialism are no closer to real freedom then censorship of a few words are equivalent to free speech.
 
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Technically, they monetize debt, that is the government issues debt in the form of bonds, they offer to buy this debt from the banks for reserve credit.

Where do they get the money to buy their own debt? I get that they can print as much debt as possible, but where do they get the money to buy their own debt? And I assume this obviously means that without the reserve credit, the money supply would grow at a much slower rate.

I was always under the impression that the main way the Fed controlled the money supply was through the fed funds rate, and that's why they always talk about Volcker raising the fed funds rate to 20%. I suppose my main point of confusion is whether they actually have tangible control on this rate or whether they can only aim for it through tactics.

So when the FED or any central bank announces rate cuts, we have two things happening.

1. They are going to increase the money supply, attempting to drive down the interest rate by flooding the market.

2. They loan at or below the target rate at the discount window, which is a short term lending facility central banks extend to the banking sector. The discount window is where banks get secretive emergency mini-bailouts, and can perform overnight balance arbitrage with different banks in different countries (the master level of the grand scam).

So basically what you're saying is there's TWO methods for lowering the rate. One is the fed funds rate, and the other is buying their own debt in exchange for reserve credit. I still don't get where they get the money for that, though, if they're already up to their eyeballs in debt.
 
Shades of socialism are no closer to real freedom then censorship of a few words are equivalent to free speech.

Likewise, some government intervention doesn't equal socialism and markets built around tariffs, subsides and tax breaks are not free.

Short of anarchy or totalitarianism we are always going to be dealing with shades of grey.

I'm not in favour of continuing to follow Keynesian economics either, but even if we were to leave things purely to the market, unless the competitive advantages gained by some over the last century or two can be wiped out then the effects of government intervention would still be felt and the market would not be free.
 
They sell the bonds to China. (Or is that some other part of this whole fucked up system?)

I found an awesome read on it here. It really exposes how what the U.S. government is doing is essentially what Zimbabwe did before it collapsed.

Here's the Fed buying Treasuries.

Custody_Account_components_and_total.jpg


Here's a really amazing chart.

Federal_Agency_Debt.jpg
 
Likewise, some government intervention doesn't equal socialism and markets built around tariffs, subsides and tax breaks are not free.
I disagree with the former, and the latter is a strawman. I am not for any subsidies, tariffs or tax breaks. Without government intervention, they are unnecessary, as they are simply more intervention piled on previous interventions.

"Some" government intervention is like "some" censorship. It's not a free market, and it's not free speech. The question we have to ask is, once the premise that the state can intervene is accepted, where is the line drawn?


Short of anarchy or totalitarianism we are always going to be dealing with shades of grey.
But that's never my point. Yes, the world is not perfect, but the basic premise of human action is that man acts to improve his condition as he best sees possible (and sometimes acts wrong, but his motivation is always towards satisfaction).

In between anarchy and totalitarianism, we have socialism, which historically, and I believe logically leads to tyranny, not freedom.

I'm not in favour of continuing to follow Keynesian economics either, but even if we were to leave things purely to the market, unless the competitive advantages gained by some over the last century or two can be wiped out then the effects of government intervention would still be felt and the market would not be free.
The enemy of the good is the perfect. I have some friends who argue that it would be irresponsible to free slaves if they had no skills or property to build their new lives with.

But I say, that's up to the slaves to decide. Whether they want to be free today, or they want to inch towards self-ownership. For the slavemaster to claim that freedom can only be handed out in increments, is just an exercise of his own power, not an exercise of free will for the slaves.

Anyways, I *try* not to debate philosophy and politics online anymore. Economics is my interest. The truth, I believe, makes a more compelling and enduring case than appeals to emotion or idealism. When people are informed, they are usually safer and more fun to be around.
 
Where do they get the money to buy their own debt? I get that they can print as much debt as possible, but where do they get the money to buy their own debt? And I assume this obviously means that without the reserve credit, the money supply would grow at a much slower rate.
The government creates debt in the form of bonds. The central bank creates a market for these bonds, by offering to buy them from financial institutions, in return for reserve credit. Reserves are very valuable to banks, because they can use them to loan out up to 10 times as much new money.

Ideally, the money supply does not grow under central command but certainly not in this fashion, where it's government debt which is driving expansion.

I'm a layman, so don't take the next part as gospel. It might not be 100% right.

Say the government runs a deficit of $5. They issue a bond. You, being a patriotic sort, buy the bond. When the bond is due for redemption, the bank buys it from you, and pays you your principal plus interest. The bank then sells the bond to the central bank, in return for reserve credit. The central bank creates the credit it uses to purchase bonds, out of thin air. I then presume the bond is destroyed or redeemed with the government, but since the central bank turns over all profits to the government treasury each year, redemption is the same as destruction. It's moving the bond from one bottomless pocket to another.

The thing about the central bank is, it allows politicians to spend without taxing (by devaluing savings and slowing economic growth), and it enables banks to fractionally reserve, so they can generate massive profits from speculation with almost zero risk. The central bank itself facilitates both parties getting what they want. And in return, the central bank in any country is basically the lifeblood of the economics profession. Most "private" economists work for the central bank, or receive funding from the central bank. They have an interest in supporting the institution, because without it, they would have to chase scarce "real jobs".

I was always under the impression that the main way the Fed controlled the money supply was through the fed funds rate, and that's why they always talk about Volcker raising the fed funds rate to 20%. I suppose my main point of confusion is whether they actually have tangible control on this rate or whether they can only aim for it through tactics.
Aim. And set the rate higher for the discount window.

When Volcker raised rates for the banks, they had to go to the private sector to get cheaper loanable funds. So people started saving more and more at say, 18% return, and put that money in the banks to keep the capitalized.

When the rate is very low, no one wants to save because banks won't pay any interest on savings. It is cheaper for the bank to get all new credit directly from the central bank. Low interest rates cause all sorts of mischief in the short and long term. Rates too high can slow economic growth as well. The market should set the price of money based on supply and demand.

The problem with the central bank moving rates up and down, is that they almost always reflect a political agenda, not a real indication of the amount of savings for capital investment in an economy. An economy which does not save, cannot grow. This is why GDP is a nonsense number. It includes debt, the theory being, if you can borrow, then you are growing, but when you borrow against yourself, it's just an accounting trick.

So basically what you're saying is there's TWO methods for lowering the rate. One is the fed funds rate, and the other is buying their own debt in exchange for reserve credit. I still don't get where they get the money for that, though, if they're already up to their eyeballs in debt.
Because it is a monopoly (legal tender laws), the accounting tricks that are run can persist for decades, because no one can stop participating in the scheme.

That is why Ron Paul agitates for market money, which would undo legal tender laws, and thus give people a chance to escape the erosion of value from inflation.

They create the reserve credits out of thin air, and that credit is created to steal purchasing power from everyone holding dollars in the economy in order to pay for government spending, and bankroll the banks in the global investment casino. The theft occurs by diluting the currency as fractional reserve pyramids those reserves into lots of new money. More money chasing the same number of goods = higher aggregate prices. This is called inflation (price inflation), but it is really only a symptom of inflation (monetary inflation).

It's all fascinating stuff really. Terribly depressing when you first start to grasp how the game is stacked against the average person, but enlightening when you start to plan your investments and business to avoid harm from the system.
 
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Anyways, I *try* not to debate philosophy and politics online anymore. Economics is my interest.

It's hard to separate them really. Economics is based on concepts, which while often politicised are really philosophical ones, such as ownership, growth, desire.
 
wall of text, worth reading:

Barstool Economics

Suppose that every day, 10 men go out for beer and the bill for all 10 comes to $100.00.

If they pay their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this:

* The first 4 men (the poorest) would pay nothing.
* The 5th would pay $1.00.
* The 6th would pay $3.00.
* The 7th would pay $7.00.
* The 8th would pay $12.00.
* The 9th would pay $18.00.
* The 10th man (the richest) would pay $59.00.

So, that's what they decided to do. The 10 men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement, until one day, the owner threw them a curve.

"Since you are all such good customers, he said, I'm going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20.00."

Drinks for the 10 now cost only $80.00.

The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes, so the first 4 men were unaffected. They would still drink for free.

But, what about the other 6 men (the paying customers)?

How could they divide the $20.00 windfall so that everyone would get his fair share?

They realized that $20.00 divided by 6 is $3.33. But if they subtracted that from everybody's share, then the 5th man and the 6th man would each end up being paid to drink his beer. So, the bar owner suggested... to be fair, to reduce each man's bill by roughly the same amount, and he proceeded to work out the amounts each should pay.

And so:

* The 5th man, like the first 4, now paid nothing (100% savings).
* The 6th now paid $2.00 instead of $3.00 (33% savings).
* The 7th now paid $5.00 instead of $7.00 (28% savings).
* The 8th now paid $9.00 instead of $12.00 (25% savings).
* The 9th now paid $14.00 instead of $18.00 (22% savings).
* The 10th now paid $49.00 instead of $59.00 (16% savings).

Each of the 6 was better off than before. And the first 4 continued to drink for free. But once outside the bar, the men began to compare their savings.

"I only got a dollar out of the $20.00," declared the 6th man. He pointed to the 10th man, "But he got $10.00!"

"Yeah, that's right," exclaimed the 5th man. "I only saved a dollar too. It's unfair that he got 10 times more than I!"

"That's true!!" shouted the 7th man. "Why should he get $10.00 back, when I only got $2.00? The wealthy get all the breaks!"

"Wait a minute," yelled the first 4 men in unison. "We didn't get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!"

The 9 men surrounded the 10th and beat him up.

The next night, the 10th man didn't show up for drinks, so the 9 sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn't have enough money between them for even half of the bill! (The 10th man was originally paying $59.00 of $100.00, then $49.00 of $80.00).

And that, boys and girls, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas, where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.

* -David R. Kamerschen, Ph.D.
* Professor of Economics, University of Georgia



1. For those who understand, no explanation needed.
2. For those who do not understand, no explanation is possible.