23andme.com, anyone tried it?

[ItsYoBuddy]

I did it. I thought it was pretty cool. A lot of people use it for other things like genealogy. And they don't ever tell you that you're going to get something. It's always you have a "chance" or, really, what they say is "X people with your genotype out of 100 people got Y disease." Usually it's something like 5 or 10 unless you're talking about diabetes in which case it's like 30-something (me!). Anyway, if you want to check it out I just got the latest coupon and they let anyone use the coupons even though it's "my" coupon, which is weird. Anyone, multiple times so send it wherever you want.


Send it, post it, like it - share it every way you can!

Here's your $23 off link to share:
http://www.23andMe.com/a/ff1/a1d4r

Offer Expires: Dec. 27th, 2011

lolol. what did you type in google to get here?

 

[geomark]

Yeah, it's a new experiment if you make another choice after the first door is opened, a new independent experiment with two choices.

The probabilities of the first experiment with three choices are irrelevant since the two experiments are independent and there is no information added by the first experiment to the second.

 

[hehejo]

Wrong. That's an illusion.

The moment the host revealed a goat he changed the denominator from /3 to /2.

It immediately becomes 50/50 unless you still wish to include door #3 for your consideration for some stupid reason.

Wrong. Try it out if you don't believe me.

Monty Hall Simulation

Here are some pictures to help explanation...

The Monty Hall page

Seems like jdrmar was right...

For the nerds:
http://rosettacode.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

 

[clyde]

Wrong. That's an illusion.

The moment the host revealed a goat he changed the denominator from /3 to /2.

It immediately becomes 50/50 unless you still wish to include door #3 for your consideration for some stupid reason.

No luke, lol, it's just probability.

A) You pick the car, host shows a goat, you switch to a goat and lose
(B) You pick goat #1, host shows goat #2, you switch to the car and win
(C) You pick goat #2, host shows goat #1, you switch to the car and win
that gives you a 2/3 or 66.6666.. % chance of winning

[ame="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Rl_p3JlSd0"]21, The Movie: Variable Change - YouTube[/ame]

 

[furfing]

What? We own Google you dumb fuck. Half of the semi-wise guys here are not married. Don't you know we love young long warm cocks?

It was just a remark, i wasnt taking any position For instance i did the teste on 23 and me nothing to complain and worry about.

For those interested in different kind of DNA test i invite you to go there :

Genographic Project Participation Kit for U.S. and Canada - National Geographic Store

 

[lukep]

A) You pick the car, host shows a goat, you switch to a goat and lose
(B) You pick goat #1, host shows goat #2, you switch to the car and win
(C) You pick goat #2, host shows goat #1, you switch to the car and win
that gives you a 2/3 or 66.6666.. % chance of winning

Brilliant. I get it now... It's the objects, not the doors, that we should be focusing on for computing the likelihood.

I got hung up on percentages of yes v/s no per door. -Which is not the best way to find out your percentage of winning an object. Very interesting.

 

[avatar33]

This just doesn't seem right.

 

[dtea206]

Brilliant. I get it now... It's the objects, not the doors, that we should be focusing on for computing the likelihood.

Yea crazy, definitely counterintuitive, but once you think about it for like 30 seconds it totally makes sense.

 

[avatar33]

I get it too, this website explained it better: Understanding the Monty Hall Problem | BetterExplained

but fuck, this shit is scary, why don't we think that way right from the start? This could apply to so many areas of life.

 

[webjourney]

sounds interesting, but as they say no good can come from delving into the future. But sure would go a long way in being more careful, health-wise.