Happy Birthday Bitcoin!

lukep

He Hath Arisen
Sep 18, 2010
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On the blockchain
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5 Years ago today (or last night, depending on the timezone of Satoshi when he published it) Bitcoin was born. Someone or some group aligned with the Cypherpunks calling him/themselves Satoshi Nakamoto published this paper on the cryptography newsgroup mailing list.

This post will be a history lesson of those 1st 5 years for those of you who like money &/or freedom.

Before publishing it, like the rest of the Cypherpunks, Satoshi had extremely libertarian/anarchist views and decided that a decentralized money would help the cause of freedom and made it happen.

In Sept 1992 the Cypherpunks got organized online from random hackers from all walks of life, and really they even started on bulletin boards before the first browsers. Around that time Tim May (chief scientist at Intel at the time) wrote the short "Crypto Anarchist Manifesto" that really started to gel these people together, and ever since in one form or another they've been sharing cryptography knowledge and philosophy (mostly AnarchoCapitalist values) widely.

In 1994 the Cyphernomicon was published, defining cryptoanarchy and served as the core text of the movement that acted as their rulebook. It pushed voluntary values and the importance of strong encryption above all. Here's an important excerpt:

2.3. "What's the 'Big Picture'?"
2.3.1. Strong crypto is here. It is widely available.
2.3.2. It implies many changes in the way the world works. Private
channels between parties who have never met and who never
will meet are possible. Totally anonymous, unlinkable,
untraceable communications and exchanges are possible.
2.3.3. Transactions can only be *voluntary*, since the parties are
untraceable and unknown and can withdraw at any time. This
has profound implications for the conventional approach of
using the threat of force, directed against parties by
governments or by others. In particular, threats of force
will fail.
2.3.4. What emerges from this is unclear, but I think it will be a
form of anarcho-capitalist market system I call "crypto
anarchy." (Voluntary communications only, with no third
parties butting in.)

Much of the technology you use today was made by this group, including that https: in your browser right now, most forms of usable encryption, proxy servers, and of course bitcoin, to name a few.

In short, this leaderless group worked together as a force of good for the world, and tens of thousands of cypherpunks are out there anonymously doing things today working towards this shared vision. Way before it's time, these guys defined the online struggle we live in today and are still working, invisibly, behind the scenes to create alternatives to this NSA-dominated world for you and I to prosper in.

There is no way to get in contact with the cypherpunks anymore; the list is dead, they've apparently disbanded, and with their legend goes 1,000 spinoff histories... But I can assure you that they're out there in large numbers working on technology that you're using now and will be using more of soon.

Julian Assange of course created wikileaks and still runs it today while trapped inside the Ecuadorian embassy in London. Wikileaks was only his 2nd best contribution IMHO, with the Rubberhose file system being far more important to our future freedom from tyranny. Bitcoin donations are pretty much his only source of income now other than his book sales.

John Gilmore was one of the very first cypherpunks, also a founder of Sun Microsystems and helped create GNU linux. Ever type a .* into a command prompt? That was his. Today he heads up the EFF.

A few other cypherpunks obviously came over into the bitcoin forums, helping Satoshi put together the first bitcoin client. The idea of bitcoin has furthered their philosophical goals more than any other invention of theirs, excepting maybe bittorrent. (Invented by Bram Cohen, another early cypherpunk.)

Today these guys are mostly retired, take few interviews, and generally just try to stay out of the sights of a USSA that has hunted them down for decade or so now. Here's a Jeff Berwick interview of one of them, Sandy Sanfort, if you're interested in some history straight from the horses mouth.

Anyway, they quickly slapped together a working first version of the bitcoin-qt client, and on January 3rd, 2009, Satoshi himself mined the "genesis block," for which he was rewarded 50 bitcoins. Many others soon started mining (on their CPUs of course, GPUs weren't even dreamed about yet) and they piled up a few hundred thousand bitcoins between them over the next many months.

All that time, bitcoins were intended for use as money but no one had bought anything with one... They even published a "suggested exchange rate" of $1 to 1300 bitcoins for a while, but no one bit at that price. For that first year they were just sending btc back and forth to each other for testing and for fun! Literally, they weren't worth a Zimbabwe buck for the first year or so.

Until May 22nd, 2010, that all changed. The way you make something a currency is by trading it for something tangible, and therefore setting a precedent for its price. This was done when a bitcointalk forum member named laszlo bought a $25 pizza (delivered) from another forum member for the fine sum of 10,000 bitcoins. (About $2 Million today) That price was set that day and ever since bitcoin has grown at least 1,000% per year in price, without fail. I see no reason why this rate of growth would ever slow down until bitcoin is the world's reserve currency.

On Feb 9th, 2011, 1 BTC = 1 USD (Dollar parity) on MtGox, the first exchange to trade for bitcoins.

Today we're at $215 on MtGox, but no one really uses gox anymore because the USSA has basically crippled the ability to withdraw your funds there. Nowadays we mostly go by the Coinbase, Bitstamp or BTC China price, which are all right at about $200 today. Silicon Valley's Coindesk.com does a good job of keeping up with the price index for everyone.

I first investigated bitcoins at $3, and grabbed 10 of them for fun. (/facepalm.gif) Sadly I didn't get involved much yet, and 2011 would have been a great year to do so since pretty much half of the news that happened to bitcoin happened that year... So many new services, vendors, assisting technologies, news reports, etc. happened that year but I was twiddling my thumbs. In june there was a huge article in Gawker magazine that talked about the Silk Road for the first time and the price had it's first major bubble... I didn't see it until almost a year later, just before I wrote my infamous 5K post. :(

2012 saw a 50k coin theft, Satoshi Dice become so popular that over half the transactions on the network all went to just that one site, and the creation of the bitcoin foundation in September. That's about it for 2012, that and thousands upon thousands of small vendors signing up.

2013 so far has been incredible, to say the least. It started off with Silicon Valley taking note of bitcoin and investing millions in a dozen different businesses here that we now use every day. The press grew from that, until in May we had the $266 spike when Cyprus stole 10% of their depositors from all bank account holders in the country... Half of Europe hopped onboard bitcoin at that time and you could literally watch the money and power flow from MtGox over to Bitstamp.

There have been a bunch of regulations aimed at bitcoin since from the USSA, but they've mainly just hurt MtGox and anyone looking to sell bitcoinATM machines here. (Vancouver put the first BitcoinATM in service this week. So far there has been a constant line of people at it!)

China officially took over as the #1 bitcoin-loving country about a month or so ago, when BTC China's volume surpassed the other exchanges' volumes. (The number of bitcoin client downloads in china had surpassed all other countries downloads months earlier) London, Russia and Slovenia also have extremely popular bitcoin exchanges too, so the world is currently kicking the USSA's ass with this important technology. Even Kenya's cellphone-based M-PESA network, in the hands of Billions of unbanked Africans, can now get bitcoins easily and trade them locally while we peasants in the land of the free pretty much cannot.
 
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In September, Bitpay (our leading 'payment processor' for businesses) announced that they've surpassed 10,000 vendors. They are one of many payment processors, and this news got repeated around and fueled a second frenzy in Silicon Valley.

I personally feel that bitcoin's best news to date happened a month ago today when the Silk Road was shut down by the feds. For far too long the mainstream media never failed to mention the silk road in the same breath with the world bitcoin. This all stopped abruptly last month when suddenly there was no silk road, but yet the price of bitcoin had immediately recovered and actually grew! This was proof positive that bitcoin is a legit currency, not just a black market token.

And for the last 100 days, a couple from Utah has proven bitcoin's validity as a currency by strictly living on bitcoin as they travelled the world. That ended yesterday, and a feature-length movie is now in post-production about the experience.

Today bitcoin's history seems to be coming full-circle. In the spirit of the cypherpunks, Cody Wilson (the anarchist who made the 1st printable gun & DEFCAD.org) announced Dark Wallet, posting this video:

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ouo7Q6Cf_yc]Dark Wallet - YouTube[/ame]

He's running an indiegogo campaign for dark wallet here, which is doing very well. Dark wallet is a is a super-simple-to-use bitcoin wallet that is a tiny browser plugin that can automatically mix (launder) your bitcoins making them truly untraceable, & trustlessley! Even your grandma will be able to easily send and receive untrackable bitcoins with this thing.

Clearly that puts the bitcoin foundation and it's halo-wearing followers in strong contrast to these darker bitcoiners that don't care what the USSA's money laundering laws say. Today the bitcoin community has in fact split into two camps; dark and light bitcoiners.

Luckily, even as we segment ourselves further away from each other, there is room for both in the bitcoinosphere. Like this awesome article suggests, we can both do our thing and we'll actually still kind help each other.

So happy birthday bitcoin, here's to the next 5 years... We're setting our sights to overtaking Western Union next, and then Paypal after that. Let's get to it!

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In short, this leaderless group worked together as a force of good for the world, and tens of thousands of cypherpunks are out there anonymously doing things today working towards this shared vision. Way before it's time, these guys defined the online struggle we live in today and are still working, invisibly, behind the scenes to create alternatives to this NSA-dominated world for you and I to prosper in.

So wait, you don't think the NSA infiltrated these groups years ago? That's adorable.
 
Interesting read. Do you actually think it will continue "to grow 1000% a year in price?" I love the concept of bitcoin but it's hard to imagine a single coin growing to $2k USD in 2014, then $20k USD in 2015, etc.

I'm also curious how many of you actually spend your coins rather than just investing/trading them. I own a good amount of bitcoin but have never spent any of them.
 
So wait, you don't think the NSA infiltrated these groups years ago? That's adorable.
I didn't speak on the subject at all UG; it is something that obviously had and effect on individual cypherpunks enough to the point where we have no cypherpunks today.

However, the fedcoats have absolutely no way to fight a technology like bitcoin or bittorrent. You can't point a gun at anyone or throw them in jail to shut such headless systems down. Since they are open source, a whole community of people look through the code to see that they contain no backdoors or unsafe features. In essence, the cypherpunks have "ascended" like Obi-wan to a new, immortal form that can't be targeted.


Interesting read. Do you actually think it will continue "to grow 1000% a year in price?" I love the concept of bitcoin but it's hard to imagine a single coin growing to $2k USD in 2014, then $20k USD in 2015, etc.
Yes I do, although it certainly will not happen in an orderly fashion. Perhaps by the end of 2014 we'll be under $1000 but another hype bubble in early 2015 will pop the price up to $3000... It's not something you can set your watch to.

Here's a fun, albeit out of date calculator to use to guess the price of bitcoin:

Bitcoin Price Calculator

Right now I'd set it to 100%, 33%, 50%, & 100% for its' final price. The reason the black market will only use it 50% of the time is because even with trustless mixing (dark wallet and its' followers) the most anonymous thing to trade will always be cash.

Here's a far more conservative estimate on bitcoin's price: Op-Ed: The bitcoin price has the potential to reach $1,820 by 2020

I agree that this is a proper technical momentum, but it doesn't take into account the size of the marketshare bitcoin will be displacing. For a really good visual on what that is, checkout our scoreboard:

Coinometrics



I'm also curious how many of you actually spend your coins rather than just investing/trading them. I own a good amount of bitcoin but have never spent any of them.
I spend small amounts every week, and invest some over at BTCJam too. But most of my coins hoarded away in an offline wallet.
 
Lukep as much as I disagree with your crazy ramblings sometimes, your first thread on bitcoin made me investigate it more and it's been fun watching history being made these past couple of years. Can't wait to see how things progress.
 
I didn't speak on the subject at all UG; it is something that obviously had and effect on individual cypherpunks enough to the point where we have no cypherpunks today.

However, the fedcoats have absolutely no way to fight a technology like bitcoin or bittorrent. You can't point a gun at anyone or throw them in jail to shut such headless systems down. Since they are open source, a whole community of people look through the code to see that they contain no backdoors or unsafe features. In essence, the cypherpunks have "ascended" like Obi-wan to a new, immortal form that can't be targeted.
.

This has been said before, and you are right they simply cant touch bitcoin directly. But you can't deny the money/bitcoin exchange is the weak point, just waiting to be regulated or shutdown. At least in the US. The exchanges are far from opensource. The exchanges can and may be shutdown or regulated. The possibility of waking up one morning and not being able to change your BTC into $$'s is a real possibility. I am not saying bitcoin is bad or not a good idea.

But anyone playing in space should realize the exchanges are the weak point, and you should avoid leaving any money hanging in limbo for any length of time in an exchange.
 
I have to thank you Lukep. If it weren't for you, I wouldn't have the capital I do today.

Bitcoin was and still is an opportunity to make some nice coin. However, I don't know the viability on the long front. Price fluctuations and regulation are still a major problem.
 
...you can't deny the money/bitcoin exchange is the weak point, just waiting to be regulated or shutdown. At least in the US. The exchanges are far from opensource. The exchanges can and may be shutdown or regulated. The possibility of waking up one morning and not being able to change your BTC into $$'s is a real possibility.
I take comfort in the fact that a good 10 or more projects right now are working really hard on decentralizing the exchanges themselves.

I think what we are going to see here in the next year is a two-fold solution.

The first half of the solution will be mopped up by Bitcoin ATMs being pumped out worldwide. There are no less than four companies doing mass production of them as I type these words, three of them full ATMs with 2-direction sales, and one (the Lamassu, which only costs $5k each, made in New Hampshire) only Sells bitcoins, so they can get sold in the USA without the need of the payment network license nor AML/KYC compliance. This means that all Americans will be able to BUY bitcoins easily, but the rest of the world will be able to buy & sell bitcoins easily... Which of course will destroy western union pretty damn quickly.

The 2nd half of the solution is more dangerous but exciting; decentralized exchange marketplaces will give just about everyone on earth the ability to start their own business selling (illegal but untraceable) financial instruments that can be used in place of local currencies on these exchanges. There is some seriously heavy interest in this area already; even some silicon valley funding! Naturally I wouldn't trust the provider who shows his face, however.



lukep whenever somebody tries to give him paper money

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...I guess that explains why I'm so broke right now. :(
 
@lukep do you think the current uptrend is going to "pop"? Compared to the April bubble which happened very rapidly, the recent growth looks more stable because it's happened over weeks rather than days, and it's obviously influenced by "real" factors and improvements in the btc market. However I'm still wondering if all the April-babies are getting geared up to unload everything and significantly hit the price for awhile.

Mainly asking from a short-term perspective regardless of the fact that it will (surely) recover after awhile even if it does "pop" because I've been wanting to buy more and trying to get in at a good time. I picked up the huge majority of my btc right after SR crashed and it was ~100, then wanted to buy another chunk when it hit 200 (due to me having capital on hand, nothing related to btc itself) but kept thinking it would drop back to 180-190 and I could get it then ... hasn't happened.
 
Wow, Dark Wallet's indiegogo campaign went over 50% on the very first day! It's happening, bros!


So THIS is why someone added the tag "buttcoin;" because one of them is now valuable enough to buy one of those ^ with. ;)


@lukep do you think the current uptrend is going to "pop"?
I think I demonstrated back in April that I know jack shit about the short term. :D


Compared to the April bubble which happened very rapidly, the recent growth looks more stable because it's happened over weeks rather than days, and it's obviously influenced by "real" factors and improvements in the btc market. However I'm still wondering if all the April-babies are getting geared up to unload everything and significantly hit the price for awhile.
I don't see that at all... Most of the growth lately has been in China, Argentina, and Russia, which has totally dwarfed the 'April babies.'

Bad news is going to make it fall sometime, and good news is going to make it rise sometime after that... But also expect little upward pushes just before any major currency like the Yen, Yuan, Ruble, Rupee, or Euro reaches a psychologically-attractive round number. (ex: When the Yuan hit 1000 2 weeks ago, we had a big bump globally. Same with the Ruble hitting 5000.) I think the Euro will hit 150 next but there might be others first.

That's a huge advantage that no other currency has... Bitcoin is the first truly global currency so it gets these psychological run-ups all over the world, not just in one locale!