Romney vs Obama - The Race - Till Nov



Both are idiots and OP is a faggot for trying to promote one of them in WF bumping his shit thread every morning and evening.
 
From FiveThirtyEight:

Chance of Winning:
  • Barack Obama 76.3% (+7.6 since 8/28)
  • Mitt Romney 23.7%

Scenario Analysis
How often the following situations occurred during repeated simulated elections.
  • Electoral College tie (269 electoral votes for each candidate) 0.3%
  • Recount (one or more decisive states within 0.5 percentage points) 5.9%
  • Obama wins popular vote 76.5%
  • Romney wins popular vote 23.5%
  • Obama wins popular vote but loses electoral college 2.4%
  • Romney wins popular vote but loses electoral college 2.1%
  • Obama landslide (double-digit popular vote margin) 8.8%
  • Romney landslide (double-digit popular vote margin) 0.6%
  • Map exactly the same as in 2008 1.8%
  • Map exactly the same as in 2004 <0.1%
  • Obama loses at least one state he carried in 2008 90.4%
  • Obama wins at least one state he failed to carry in 2008 23.1%
 
Unarmed Gunman said:
By that measure, Obama is no idiot either.
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Obama's only runaway success story is his personal story of runaway success with a meteoric rise to power from 2004-2008.

Other than that, he's an empty fucking suit whose administration has been totally unorganized from Day 1. If Bill Clinton was the first black president, Obama is the first affirmative action president. We'll do better by leaps and bounds in November.
 
Obama's dealt with an obstructionist Congress the whole time (don't give me shit about having a supermajority in the Senate for two years, that was on paper only thanks to DINOs and Blue Dogs and Kennedy's death) yet still managed to get a bunch of things through, plus put two liberal Supreme Court Justices on the bench.

Want to pin the blame of the current economic shitstorm on anyone? Republicans. The obstructionist Congress and George W. Bush were the worst thing that's happened to the economy since WW2. Clinton gets dinged too for being complicit in repealing Glass-Steagal. Obama's no saint, especially on civil liberties matters, but he's done well enough to get re-elected.

He'll get re-elected easy. The Romney campaign makes Obama's campaign look like a well-oiled machine.

And once it finally leaks out that the reason Romney hasn't released his taxes is because he took the amnesty deal in 2009, officially admitting he'd been defrauding the government for years, he's toast.
 
liams said:
Obama's dealt with an obstructionist Congress the whole time (don't give me shit about having a supermajority in the Senate for two years, that was on paper only thanks to DINOs and Blue Dogs and Kennedy's death) yet still managed to get a bunch of things through, plus put two liberal Supreme Court Justices on the bench.

He'll get re-elected easy. The Romney campaign makes Obama's campaign look like a well-oiled machine.

And once it finally leaks out that the reason Romney hasn't released his taxes is because he took the amnesty deal in 2009, officially admitting he'd been defrauding the government for years, he's toast.
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You're a faggot.
 
liams said:
From FiveThirtyEight:

Chance of Winning:
  • Barack Obama 76.3% (+7.6 since 8/28)
  • Mitt Romney 23.7%


[/LIST]
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I'm sure the most people know this is how it's going to turn out. Surely people aren't going to pretend to be shocked when Romney loses...
 
People who follow politics won't be shocked at all. People who've been paying attention know that Romney was just sacrificial fodder to bide their time until 2016. That's why the RNC was so blatantly pandering to the base instead of trying to court the independents - they are trying to drum up voter turnout from the party faithful to sure up down-ballot races.

It just goes to show how bullshit the media coverage is, with their desperate need to make the narrative be that the race is much closer than it actually is.
 
turbolapp said:
I'm sure the most people know this is how it's going to turn out. Surely people aren't going to pretend to be shocked when Romney loses...
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Turbo! Missed you girl... Did you wind up going to Tampa at all?

There are a few older repugs that actually believe they have a chance... Check out Mittchat sometime to see some of the most foolish people ever stuck in denial. The propaganda is strong with the GOP this year; but I think deep down in their subconscious even they must know on some level how incredibly unlikely it is for O to lose... There just isn't any evidence, anywhere, that R$ has a chance.
 
I think the Republicans have a chance to win this year, but not a significant one. I'd put money on Obama taking the presidency again, even by a good margin.

I don't believe this election is going to be one for the history books, but I think that one is coming. What interests me is that in this election both parties basically told their young blocs to fuck off.

Obama ignored most of the issues they really cared about (Ending wars, legalizing marijuana, closing Gitmo) and his effort on dealing with education costs in any meaningful way was tepid at best.

The republicans though, they actually changed the rules of their convention to nullify one of the most vibrant grassroots communities they've enjoyed in generations. There is no way that isn't going to come back to haunt them.
 
cL0ckwork_Red said:
Obama ignored most of the issues they really cared about (Ending wars, legalizing marijuana, closing Gitmo) and his effort on dealing with education costs in any meaningful way was tepid at best.
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Obama campaigned on winding down Iraq, which happened, and ramping up Afghanistan, which happened. He did exactly what he campaigned to do. Is it unpopular now, yeah, but we're so entrenched in Afghanistan there's no good way to pull out where things won't immediately go to hell.

On his second day in office, Obama signed an executive order to close Gitmo. Congress outmaneuvered him, bolstered by DINOs and Blue Dogs, and made it illegal to fund any relocation or closure efforts. From then on, prisoners and detainees have been stuck in limbo. Most of them, even if found innocent, will be unable to unwilling to go back to their home countries. Gitmo is a clusterfuck, but not of Obama's doing.

Marijuana legalization? Yeah Obama's a big ol' hypocrite there.

Education costs? The federal guaranteed backing of student loans is the exact thing that's responsible for the huge cost of going to college. Once banks know that they won't be on the hook for nonpayments, they started handing out loans like candy. Colleges, now flush with applicants, simply raised their rates and funded massive white elephant projects. In my city, each of the major universities are undergoing major facelifts and additions worth hundreds of millions of dollars. The notion that every student needs to go to college is stupid. Most kids would be better served to go to trade schools.

Internet freedoms, which you didn't mention but is a huge issue for younger voters, is another area where he's completely failed. He's tilting at the MAFIAA's windmills.

All that being said, I'd rather have another 4 years of Obama than allow Romney anywhere near the White House. Obama's had his failures and disappointments, but he's had areas where he's done well or at least well enough to deserve another four years. But still, if things continue polling how they are in my state, and he's assured to capture my state's electors, I'll be voting for Jill Stein anyway.
 
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